TOUGH TIMES FOR FLNG PROJECTS Q2 2016 UPDATE OF CEDIGAZ’LNG DATABASE

Cedigaz is pleased to announce the release of the latest update of its LNG databases on Liquefaction plants, Regasification terminals and Long-term contracts have been updated. You will find below a summary of the most important developments that were included in the databases in Q1 2016.

Liquefaction projects:

The most significant event in Q1 2016, is indisputably the shipment of the first US LNG cargo from Cheniere’s Sabine Pass project in February. In Australia, Chevron started producing LNG and condensate at its 15.6 Mmtpa Gorgon LNG project. The first shipment of LNG has left Barrow Island, bound for Japan. The two additional 5.2 Mmtpa trains will be progressively commissioned throughout 2016-2017. In Indonesia, the startup of the Sengkang LNG project has been pushed back by one year and we now expect it to start commercial production in 2017. Depressed prices have continued to weigh on project development. In Australia, Woodside decided to freeze the Browse FLNG project. In Indonesia, the Abadi project, another large FLNG, was postponed and will be probably be redesigned as an onshore project. In Colombia, financially embattled PEP has canceled its FLNG project and in Canada, Altagas has announced the postponement of the Douglas Channel LNG projects in Canada.

International Gas Prices – April 8 , 2016

NBP: – 8% in early April compared to the March average

NBP and CoalThe winter season for the gas industry (October 2015 to March 2016) closed with the NBP price very low at €15.4 /MWh ($4.9/MBtu), which is 30 to 46% lower than for the three previous winters. The downtrend that started in early 2015 resulted from a relatively abundant supply and a decline in the prices of contracts 100% indexed on oil. In fact, these prices defined the NBP trend. The decline continued in the first April quotations (-8% compared to March) as the NBP dropped below the €12/MWh ($4/MBtu) mark. The markets are expecting a minimum price of €11/MWh ($3.7/MBtu) during the summer. The fact that the volumes stored in Europe are relatively large partly explains the absence of price pressure.

International Gas Prices – March 10 , 2016

NBP: down next summer

NBP and coal priceIn the first few days of March, the NBP was quoting at about €13/MWh ($4.2/MBtu), close to the previous month’s average. These levels are extremely low. Not since April 2010 (euro prices) and October 2009 (dollar prices) have such low numbers been recorded. The monthly average hit rock bottom at €7.6/MWh ($3.3/MBtu) in September 2009. The markets are not anticipating prices to drop that much next summer, but a series of decreases from the current levels to the vicinity of €11.8/MWh ($3.9/MBtu). For next winter, the NBP is expected to reach $14-15/MWh ($4.6-5.0/MBtu), in line with contracts 100% indexed to oil. This convergence indicates that the market deems $4.6-5/MBtu to be the lowest equilibrium threshold tenable in an average winter.