Blog - Page 33 of 53

€100 billion to €170 billion Investment Needed in Underground Gas Storage to 2035

Posted in Underground Gas Storage on 30 May 201615 February 2019

CEDIGAZ, has released today the sixth edition of its reference report on Underground Gas Storage. This updated edition entitled “The Underground Gas Storage & LNG Storage Market in the World 2015-2035” includes for the first time the coverage of LNG storage activity worldwide. The report includes detailed analyses of the latest developments and trends in the storage industry, CEDIGAZ’s Outlook to 2035 at regional and global levels, and extensive country analyses with complete datasets including current, under construction and planned UGS and LNG facilities for more 49 countries.

KEY FINDINGS INCLUDE:

€100 billion to €170 billion Investment Needed in Underground Gas Storage to 2035

Global UGS capacity is expected to increase from 413 bcm in 2015 to between 547 and 640 bcm in 2035. This wide range reflects the uncertainties surrounding the evolution of global gas markets plus the uncertainties specific to the gas storage business, such as challenging geology or the competition from other sources of flexibility. New storage markets, Asia-Oceania, the Middle East, and potentially Central and South America are expected to drive the growth. Conversely, the growth in working capacity should be limited in mature markets, and could even be negative in the EU.

International Gas Prices – May 11 , 2016

NBP: influenced by the LNG and oil markets

In April, the NBP saw fairly marked fluctuations, ranging from +18% to -10% compared to the monthly average. In a temporary surge, it exceeded €15/MWh ($5/MBtu) on April 26 and 27. A situation of momentarily sustained demand coincided with deficiencies of supply, resulting in heavy recourse to storage. However, monthly averages have been more stable since February, between €12.7-13/MWh ($4.2-4.3/MBtu). The price for early May and the forward quotations for the summer months (until September) stand at about the same levels. Obviously, lower prices cannot be excluded, in light of the market equilibrium conditions. On April 11, the price fell to €11.5/MWh ($3.9/MBtu), its lowest level in recent months, in step with the conditions prevailing on the LNG market in Europe at that time.

2015: A Third Year of Moderate Growth in Gas Demand

Posted in Analysis, Natural Gas Market, Natural Gas Statistics, Press release on 29 April 201617 June 2020

Natural gas demand grew by 1.6% in 2015 according to Cedigaz after having stagnated in 2014. However, this apparent, if modest, resumption of global gas market growth can be misleading as the higher growth rate is essentially the result of a weather driven recovery in the EU where demand rebounded by 4.5% after having dropped by 11% in 2014. For the rest of the world gas demand growth was actually lower than in 2014 (1.2% vs. 2%) and was pulled by a limited number of countries led by the US. The inability of natural gas demand to keep pace with an accelerated supply growth, led to an imbalance in the global gas market and to a price weakness which is expected to continue in the short and medium-term, amid a sluggish economic environment.

The year 2015 saw considerable changes in macroeconomic and price factors. Economic growth stood at 3.1%, lower than at any time since 2012 (3.3/3.4%) and also lower than the 10‐year trend (3.8%). This was the result of the relatively modest growth of the emerging countries (4% compared with 6% over ten years), although western countries’ growth rate exceeded the 10‐year average (1.9% compared to 1.5%). International crude oil prices fluctuated to new lows, with Brent averaging 52/bl, down by 47% from the previous year.